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The India–EU FTA Reshapes the Economics of Commercial Space

Written by

Abdulla Abuwasel

Partner - Transactions
awasel@waselandwasel.com
Spain's EU Law Defence Rejected in Australian Award Ruling

On 27 January 2026, India and the European Union closed negotiations on a landmark Free Trade Agreement that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen publicly branded the “mother of all deals” (“FTA”). The scale of the FTA is hard to overstate. The EU estimates that tariffs will be eliminated or reduced on 96.6% of EU goods exports to India by value, while India’s trade ministry points to preferential access for 99.5% of Indian exports into the European market. Implementation is expected within roughly a year, following legal review, which is anticipated to take five to six months.

The FTA is not a “space agreement” on its face, but it lays the industrial, digital, and investment rails for a substantial EU–India orbital corridor. And in the summit’s formal Joint Statement, they explicitly place space inside the newly signed India–EU Security and Defence Partnership, and they record “productive discussions” at the inaugural India–EU Space Dialogue held in Brussels in November 2025.

In the modern space economy, the decisive constraints are often diplomatic friction points in standards, in data governance, in procurement eligibility, and in supply-chain trust. Space companies scale when their components, engineers, capital, and data can move predictably across jurisdictions. The India–EU FTA is a trade corridor agreement that also functions, in practice, as a space-enabling agreement. The Joint Statement then gives it strategic ballast by naming space cooperation as part of the broader security and defense architecture and by mandating deeper work through the Space Dialogue across technology domains including earth observation, satellite navigation, space surveillance, and communications.

Start with manufacturing and the upstream stack. Space hardware is still a story of precision industrial inputs: avionics, electronics, advanced materials, test equipment, optics, and specialty chemicals. The European Commission’s own sectoral framing of the FTA highlights gains in areas such as machinery and “avionics,” which is a quiet but meaningful signal for aerospace supply chains. When tariffs come down and customs processes become more predictable, you make cross-border bill of materials strategies viable. Now move to the downstream stack, where the commercial space opportunity is likely to compound fastest. The Joint Statement elevates the India–EU Trade and Technology Council as the cornerstone for technology cooperation and ties it to work on resilient supply chains and protection of sensitive technologies, alongside collaboration on advanced areas like semiconductors, artificial intelligence, quantum, and 6G. For commercial space, this is core infrastructure. Earth observation analytics, satcom service delivery, on-orbit servicing planning, and space domain awareness toolchains are all data-heavy, model-heavy, and increasingly delivered as cross-border digital services. The more the two sides can converge on trusted digital ecosystems, interoperable standards, and predictable compliance expectations, the more feasible it becomes to build EU–India “two-home” space ventures that sell into both markets.

The Joint Statement goes further by calling for EU–India Innovation Hubs, an EU–India Startup Partnership, and exploratory talks on associating India with Horizon Europe, the EU’s flagship R&D program. That combination matters because commercial space is now a deep-tech financing story. Venture capital follows pathways to customer adoption and non-dilutive R&D leverage. When Indian companies can more naturally co-develop with European partners, and when European primes and scaleups can integrate Indian engineering and manufacturing capacity without the old trade penalties, you widen the funnel for bankable cross-border programs.

Where the strategic layer becomes commercially decisive is the explicit space language in the summit package. The Joint Statement notes the signing of the India–EU Security and Defence Partnership and lists “space” among the cooperation domains. It also specifies, in the implementation agenda, deeper cooperation through the Space Dialogue on earth observation, navigation, space surveillance, communications, and space security. That is the bridge between government-to-government alignment and private-sector “permission to operate.” In practical terms, it de-risks three things’ investors always consider: (1) whether collaboration will be politically durable, (2) whether sensitive technology boundaries will be managed through predictable rules rather than ad hoc politics, and (3) whether public procurement and institutional buying power can become a customer base for commercial offerings.

The 1-year implementation timeline is important for space ventures because it aligns with product cycles. Space startups that begin structuring now can hit the market as the agreement moves into action, with their supply chains, licensing posture, and data compliance built for the new corridor. Space founders should also be cognizant of climate and carbon rules. There was no immediate exemption for Indian firms under the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, which took effect on 1 January 2026, but there will be EU financial support aimed at emissions reductions. For space, that is both constraint and opportunity. Satellite-enabled measurement, reporting, and verification services, climate risk analytics, and maritime emissions monitoring become more valuable when trade partners are tightening carbon accounting and supply-chain transparency. In other words, the compliance burden can become a demand engine for downstream space data services.

As the FTA moves towards implementation, the foundations for a shared commercial space ecosystem are now firmly in place. For founders, investors, and operators willing to move early, this corridor offers scale, stability, and a genuine opportunity to build across continents.

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